predly

Market sentiment

AI

What markets expect from artificial intelligence.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

1.9%
↓0.2% this week$45.7M · 1 Platform

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

10.5%
↓1.0% this week$16.8M · 1 Platform

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

World · Ends Dec 1

3.6%
↓1.9% this week$1.5M · 1 Platform

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Politics · Ends Nov 29

73%
↑2.5% this week$1.6M · 1 Platform

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Sports · Ends May 30, 2027

18.5%
↑1.0% this week$1.7M · 1 Platform

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

12.5%
↓3.0% this week$3.2M · 1 Platform

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2028

8.5%
↓1.0% this week$3.6M · 1 Platform

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

2.3%
↓0.4% this week$3.6M · 1 Platform

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

7.5%
↓1.0% this week$3.0M · 1 Platform

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

23%
↓10.0% this week$893K · 1 Platform

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

2.9%
↓0.4% this week$2.7M · 1 Platform

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Politics · Ends Apr 1, 2028

9.4%
↑0.3% this week$887K · 1 Platform

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

7.5%
↓5.0% this week$2.1M · 1 Platform

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

17.5%
↓24.0% this week$166K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2028

16.4%
↑7.9% this week$309K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2027

90.5%
↓4.2% this week$1.6M · 1 Platform

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Dec 31

9.5%
↓3.0% this week$1.5M · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 5, 2027

12.5%
↓8.0% this week$1.7M · 1 Platform

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

28%
↑2.0% this week$258K · 1 Platform

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Dec 31

61.5%
↑10.0% this week$559K · 1 Platform

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

96.1%
↑9.1% this week$545K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2028

48.5%
↓6.5% this week$337K · 1 Platform

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

14.5%
↓2.5% this week$545K · 1 Platform

Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 11

23%
↑17.7% this week$53K · 1 Platform

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

World · Ends Feb 1, 2027

90%
↑1.5% this week$449K · 1 Platform

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2027

90.5%
↓5.0% this week$731K · 1 Platform

Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

Politics · Ends Nov 29

55.5%
↑7.0% this week$128K · 1 Platform

Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

9.5%
↓7.0% this week$225K · 1 Platform

Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?

Politics · Ends May 2, 2027

75%
↑10.5% this week$56K · 1 Platform

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2027

7.5%
↓1.0% this week$283K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2030

20.5%
↓1.0% this week$411K · 1 Platform

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2027

12.2%
↓5.4% this week$454K · 1 Platform

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 16

80.5%
↑57.0% this week$95K · 1 Platform

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Politics · Ends Jan 1, 2027

2.6%
↓4.6% this week$145K · 1 Platform

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Tech & AI · Ends Jul 1, 2027

8.8%
↑3.3% this week$87K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Dec 1

22.5%
↓3.0% this week$132K · 1 Platform

Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?

World · Ends Dec 1

8%
↓15.5% this week$64K · 1 Platform

Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 16

82%
↑20.5% this week$50K · 1 Platform

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

World · Ends Jan 1, 2028

93.8%
↑22.8% this week$77K · 1 Platform

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 1, 2028

81.1%
↓6.7% this week$144K · 1 Platform

Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?

Sports · No fixed end date

97.5%
↑4.0% this week$224K · 1 Platform

Will Spain win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

Sports · Ends Jan 1, 2031

15.8%
↑0.0% this week$250K · 1 Platform

Will Restore Britain win the next U.K. election?

Politics · Ends Aug 31, 2029

3.6%
↑0.0% this week$105K · 1 Platform

Which party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District? — Republican

Politics · No fixed end date

63.5%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?

Politics · No fixed end date

92.5%
↑8.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Will Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?

Politics · No fixed end date

94%
↑7.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

When will the House impeach Trump again? — 1/1/27 -6/30/27

Politics · No fixed end date

59%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Will the US announce in 2026 it is closing a military base in Germany or Spain?

Politics · Ends Dec 31

5%
↓1.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Who will be elected Greater Manchester mayor in 2026? — Bev Craig

Politics · Ends Dec 31

99%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Will both Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff remain US senators through year-end?

Politics · Ends Dec 31

97%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?

Tech & AI · Ends Dec 31

26%
↓11.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Larger margin of victory: Texas Senate or Maine Senate? — Texas Senate race

Politics · No fixed end date

99%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

What will be the margin of victory in the 2026 Maine Senate race? — Troy Jackson, 4-6%

Politics · No fixed end date

72%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform

Who will win the 2026 Spain snap election? — PP

Politics · No fixed end date

69.5%
↑0.0% this week$0 · 1 Platform