predly
World

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?

48%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑34.0% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 48% probability of this happening.

Current probability

48%

24h

+14.5%

7d

+34%

volume

$73K

Closing date

Jan 1, 2027

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi