World
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
89%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑23.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 89% probability of this happening.
Current probability
89%
24h
+20.5%
7d
+23.5%
volume
$54K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi