World
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
27%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 27% probability of this happening.
Current probability
27%
24h
-6.5%
7d
+0.5%
volume
$55K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi