Politics
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
98%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑69.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 98% probability of this happening.
Current probability
98%
24h
+70%
7d
+69.5%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Oct 28, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi