predly
World

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

16.5%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↓4.0% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 16.5% probability of this happening.

Current probability

16.5%

24h

+7%

7d

-4%

volume

$57K

Closing date

Jul 1, 2027

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi