World
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?
10.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 10.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
10.5%
24h
+8.3%
7d
+2%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi