World
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
98.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑4.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 98.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
98.9%
24h
+4.4%
7d
+4.4%
volume
$100K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi