Politics
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?
30%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓11.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 30% probability of this happening.
Current probability
30%
24h
-11.5%
7d
-11.5%
volume
$86K
Closing date
Dec 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi