Politics
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
14.4%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑11.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 14.4% probability of this happening.
Current probability
14.4%
24h
+10.1%
7d
+11.8%
volume
$65K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi