Politics
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
41%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓13.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 41% probability of this happening.
Current probability
41%
24h
-15.5%
7d
-13.5%
volume
$54K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi