World
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
20.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 20.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
20.3%
24h
+1.9%
7d
-1.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Nov 1, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi