World
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?
35.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑11.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 35.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
35.5%
24h
+12%
7d
+11.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi