Politics
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
97%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 97% probability of this happening.
Current probability
97%
24h
+0.7%
7d
+0.8%
volume
$65K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi