Politics
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
93.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.2% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 93.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
93.5%
24h
-0.9%
7d
-1.2%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi