Politics
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
5.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓0.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 5.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
5.9%
24h
+0.1%
7d
-0.4%
volume
$225K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi