Politics
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
98.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑4.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 98.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
98.9%
24h
+5%
7d
+4.1%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi