Politics
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?
21%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑6.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 21% probability of this happening.
Current probability
21%
24h
+9%
7d
+6%
volume
$105K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi