Politics
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
61.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓19.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 61.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
61.5%
24h
+2%
7d
-19%
volume
$55K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi