predly
World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

33.5%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑10.0% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 33.5% probability of this happening.

Current probability

33.5%

24h

+5%

7d

+10%

volume

$77K

Closing date

Jan 1, 2028

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi