Politics
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
96.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.2% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 96.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
96.3%
24h
-0.5%
7d
+0.2%
volume
$131K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi