Politics
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
97.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 97.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
97.9%
24h
+2.4%
7d
+1.5%
volume
$69K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi