World
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?
99.1%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑24.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 99.1% probability of this happening.
Current probability
99.1%
24h
+10.6%
7d
+24.6%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi