Politics
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
22%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓11.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 22% probability of this happening.
Current probability
22%
24h
-8%
7d
-11.5%
volume
$53K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi