Politics
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
91.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.6% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 91.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
91.3%
24h
-0.7%
7d
+0.6%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Nov 3, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi