World
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
20.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓6.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 20.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
20.5%
24h
-7%
7d
-6.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi