World
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?
49%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓8.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 49% probability of this happening.
Current probability
49%
24h
-8%
7d
-8%
volume
$74K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi