World
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?
41%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑13.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 41% probability of this happening.
Current probability
41%
24h
+13%
7d
+13%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi