World
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?
72%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑11.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 72% probability of this happening.
Current probability
72%
24h
+12.5%
7d
+11%
volume
$54K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi