World
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
34.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓8.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 34.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
34.5%
24h
+0.5%
7d
-8%
volume
$59K
Closing date
Dec 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi