predly
Entertainment

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

56.5%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑1.5% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 56.5% probability of this happening.

Current probability

56.5%

24h

+5%

7d

+1.5%

volume

$91K

Closing date

Jan 1, 2027

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi