Politics
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?
9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓30.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
9%
24h
-31.5%
7d
-30.5%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi