Politics
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
91.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑86.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 91.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
91.9%
24h
+85.8%
7d
+86.8%
volume
$124K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi