Politics
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
85%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑9.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 85% probability of this happening.
Current probability
85%
24h
+2.5%
7d
+9.5%
volume
$104K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi