Politics
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
8%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓25.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 8% probability of this happening.
Current probability
8%
24h
-13%
7d
-25%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi