Politics
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
82%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑48.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 82% probability of this happening.
Current probability
82%
24h
+32%
7d
+48.5%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi