Tech & AI
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
13.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓3.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 13.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
13.5%
24h
-1%
7d
-3%
volume
$87K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2029
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi