World
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
1.4%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓2.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.4% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.4%
24h
-3.6%
7d
-2.8%
volume
$488K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi