World
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
36.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓2.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 36.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
36.5%
24h
-6%
7d
-2.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Mar 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi