Politics
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.6%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.2% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 0.6% probability of this happening.
Current probability
0.6%
24h
+0.1%
7d
+0.2%
volume
$26.4M
Closing date
Nov 8, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi