Politics
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
91.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 91.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
91.5%
24h
+5%
7d
+1%
volume
$60K
Closing date
Oct 27, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi