World
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
14.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 14.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
14.5%
24h
+0.5%
7d
+0.5%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi