Politics
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
9.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓12.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 9.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
9.5%
24h
-5.6%
7d
-12.9%
volume
$60K
Closing date
Nov 29, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi