World
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
5.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑5.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 5.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
5.9%
24h
+5.8%
7d
+5.5%
volume
$52K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi