predly
World

Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

26.5%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑3.0% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 26.5% probability of this happening.

Current probability

26.5%

24h

-1.5%

7d

+3%

volume

$54K

Closing date

Dec 31, 2026

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi