World
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
40.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑9.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 40.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
40.5%
24h
+7%
7d
+9%
volume
$51K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi