Politics
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑8.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 17.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
17.9%
24h
+4.7%
7d
+8.5%
volume
$6.4M
Closing date
Nov 8, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi