Politics
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
21.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑19.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 21.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
21.5%
24h
-40.7%
7d
+19.1%
volume
$62K
Closing date
Nov 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi