Politics
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.7% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.9%
24h
+1.7%
7d
+1.7%
volume
$9.6M
Closing date
Nov 8, 2028
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi