World
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
67.4%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑2.0% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 67.4% probability of this happening.
Current probability
67.4%
24h
+0.3%
7d
+2%
volume
$1.4M
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi